As of 8:00 a.m. PDT on Wednesday, September 21, 2011 (NHC Advisory #2): Tropical Storm Hilary has formed south of Mexico, currently packing maximum sustained winds near 40 mph. Hilary is moving west-northwest (290°) at 5 mph, and is expected to increase in both speed and intensity over the next few days.
The latest National Hurricane Center forecast expects Hilary to reach hurricane strength by Friday, and intensify to a Category 2 hurricane by Sunday. If the current forecast track holds up, Hilary will enter the Southern California swell window sometime on Monday.
We’ll have to see what Hilary does over the next few days, but there is potential for a hurricane swell during the tail end of next week. That all depends on how Hilary develops over the next few days, especially once she crosses into the swell window. Keep an eye on this one.