Tagged: asp

XXL Swell Approaching Volcom Fiji Pro

An XXL-sized swell is about to collide with the ASP again this year, this time at the 2012 Volcom Fiji Pro. With conditions forecast to top out around 12 feet at 17 seconds, this upcoming swell is expected to be a touch smaller than 2011’s tube-fest that produced both Monster Tube and Ride of the Year XXL award nominations. This time around though, Kelly doesn’t have to skip the event to score massive Cloudbreak.

Here’s a look at how the primary swell data stacks up, with the 2011 swell first, followed by the forecast for Friday and Saturday. Long-period (20-second) forerunner energy is expected early Friday morning, with swell heights building throughout the day and reaching 12-feet by dark. Solid SSW energy continues to pour in on Saturday, with consistent swell conditions of 12 feet at 16 seconds (208°) expected.

While this swell isn’t expected to reach last year’s peak of 14 feet at 17 seconds, it will provide the largest surf contested so far by the ASP elite during the 2012 season. If the footage from last year’s swell is any indication, it’s definitely going to be a webcast worth tuning into.

Member Bonus: Here’s a link to the July 12, 2011 forecast (requires a Buoy Alarm account).

Contest Forecast South Pacific Surfing/

Katia Likely to Become a Hurricane Today

As of 11:00 a.m. AST on Wednesday, August 31, 2011 (NHC Advisory #10): Tropical Storm Katia is expected to reach hurricane strength sometime today. Currently, Katia has maximum sustained winds of 65 mph and is moving WNW (285°) at 21 mph. The long-range forecast calls for continued strengthening, with Katia reaching major hurricane strength by Sunday morning.

The Cape Canaveral forecast is showing signs of ground swell from Katia beginning Sunday, with 17-second ESE (108°) forerunners. The surf is forecast to continue building through next Wednesday, with swell conditions reaching the 8 feet at 14 seconds range by mid-day.

The forecast looks similar in New York, with Southeast swell also expected to arrive late Sunday (2 feet at 16 seconds, 132°) and increase into Wednesday (7 feet at 14 seconds, 134°). Good news for the 2011 Quiksilver Pro New York, which begins on Sunday with the trials.

Hopefully Katia maintains an offshore track and avoids landfall on the East Coast. Things are looking favorable at the moment, but keep an eye on the National Hurricane Center advisories for the latest updates. Also keep an eye on the Wavewatch forecasts as they continue to develop.


Ke11y Slater Wins 2011 Billabong Pro Tahiti

Kelly Slater managed to weave his way to the front of the ASP World Tour rankings yesterday after winning the 2011 Billabong Pro Tahiti. Teahupo’o served up an unbelievable string of surf, including a massive “code red” day that will undoubtably surface again in the 2012 Billabong XXL award finals.

After scoring epic conditions in Tahiti, the ASP now heads to the Atlantic for the Quiksilver Pro New York, the first-ever WCT stop on the East Coast of the United States. The competition is packaged with a slew of distractions, including BMX, motocross, and skateboarding events, designed to supplement a potential lack of action in the water, a distinct possibility (although Katia is brewing). At the moment, there are unconfirmed rumors the entire event has been cancelled, but with no official statement from Quiksilver, the show presumably goes on.

Here’s a look at the forecast as of Monday evening: The first three days of the 15-day holding period, which is scheduled for September 1 – 15, have been set aside for a local trials event. Starting on Thursday, there’s a mixture of small, short-period ESE and East wind swell (2-3 feet at 5-8 seconds), with a touch of long-period Southeast swell in the background (1 foot at 15-16 seconds 131°).

On Saturday, the short-period East (94°) swell picks up a notch to the 4 feet at 9 seconds range, and long-period forerunners from the Southeast start to arrive on Sunday (1 foot at 18 seconds 132°). However, Southwest winds begin to increase over the weekend as well.

Conditions should improve by Monday, September 5th, as the Southeast ground swell continues to fill-in (3 feet at 14 seconds 132°) and the SSW wind swell backs off as winds ease and clock to the WNW. In fact, the mixture of SSW and SE swell with improving local winds could potentially deliver enough combo-swell action to run the first day of competition.

The nearest station reporting real-time observations is Buoy 44065 (New York Harbor Entrance), which is located about 14 miles South from the event site in Long Beach. Real-time wind and wave data from the buoy is available on Twitter by following @buoy44065.


Round 2 of Billabong Pro Tahiti Underway

Papeete, Tahiti - Friday, August 26, 2011

Round 2 of the 2011 Billabong Pro Tahiti is currently underway, and the upsets have already begun, with trials winner Ricardo Santos defeating ASP World Tour #5 Taj Burrow. In the first heat of the day, Tahitian local Heiarii Williams got hung-up in the lip and went over on a solid 10-footer, while Jeremy Flores scored a 4.5 for a huge barrel he didn’t make. It’s an absolute spectacle out there right now at Teahupo’o.

Jeremy just charged the heaviest wave I’ve seen in yrs on tour. #charging all week. If you’re not watching billabongpro.com right now, hurry

– @kellyslater via Twitter

As you can see in today’s forecast (above) there’s a solid amount of SSW energy in the water, with primary swell conditions hovering in the 10-feet at 14 seconds (203°) range throughout the day. The first signs of Saturday’s massive reinforcement pop into the chart later in the evening (22-second forerunners), and the outlook for tomorrow is ridiculous.

Papeete, Tahiti - Saturday, August 27, 2011

Saturday sees long-period SSW forerunners in the 20-second range building throughout the morning, with swell wave heights increasing to the 15-foot range by mid-day. The East-Southeast winds begin to back-off slightly and rotate East, which should provide improved conditions as the day goes on.

Saturday’s swell is going to be massive, and seeing how much difficulty guys are having getting into some of today’s sets, it will be absolutely terrifying to paddle tomorrow. Our call is that the ASP passes on Saturday, lets the tow-in teams have at it, then resumes on Sunday as the swell eases back to conditions similar to today, but with much better wind. Monday continues to look solid, and while it’s not forecast to be as big as today or Sunday, 8 feet at 15 seconds is more than enough to finish the event.


Billabong Pro Tahiti: Massive Swell & Favorable Winds

The latest forecast for the 2011 Billabong Pro has both Kelly Slater and the medical staff concerned, as huge surf is expected to peak on Saturday with conditions in the 15 feet at 18 seconds range (SSW 198°).

Anyone who wants to paddle around me Saturday has my official blessing. @joelparko just pretend it’s snapper.

Kelly Slater

Currently, a new South-Southwest swell is building, but the event remains on hold is off today as local winds are impacting conditions. The winds are looking a lot better from Saturday onward, as they’re forecast to turn East, then Northeast, and ease through Monday.

Follow @billabongpro on Twitter for the latest news and updates from Teahupo’o. The next call will be tomorrow, Friday, at 6:30 a.m. Tahitian time.


Dr. Paul Fisher, Australian trauma doctor and medical lead at the 2011 Billabong Pro Tahiti.

This is my 11th WT event and this is definitely from my perspective the most scary, and with the most potential for serious injury and even death.

Dr. Paul Fisher, Australian trauma doctor and medical lead at the 2011 Billabong Pro Tahiti." addthis:description="

This is my 11th WT event and this is definitely from my perspective the most scary, and with the most potential for serious injury and even death.


Another Layday in Tahiti with Serious Swell on Deck

Papeete Surf Forecast

Day 5 of the 2011 Billabong Pro Tahiti looks to be another layday as organizers await a series of solid SSW swells that begin to arrive Thursday. Swell conditions during the next four days are expected to be in the 10-15+ foot range, with a massive SSW reinforcement on Saturday.

Whoever wins will not only have to defeat his fellow competitors, but also conquer solid Teahupo’o in the process (with some assistance from the Tahitian water patrol of course. Mauruuru!). If you’ve ever wondered what the “Dream Tour” could be, Tahiti is about to deliver.


Second Layday in Tahiti. Forecast Remains Pants-Shitable.

Papeete, Tahiti - Surf Forecast

Not sure how much relaxation is happening on this 2011 Billabong Pro Tahiti layday when the forecast looks like this. A moderate South swell fills today, with light winds through Tuesday. Then stronger SSE-SE winds blow in on Wednesday, ahead of the poo-your-pants SSW (10 feet at 14 seconds) that hits Thursday-Friday. Then the winds turn a more favorable East, right before the really-shit-your-pants SSW (15 feet at 18 seconds) that hits Saturday-Sunday.

If u must watch #Billabongpro during this big swell: Learn mindsurfing 4 all the empty waves. u gonna see a LOT of em.

Jamie O’Brien (@whoisjob)

Be sure to tune in to the exciting webcast later this week to see (a) if the organizers have the bravado to run this thing in macking Teahupo’o, and (b) which of the ASP elite has the balls to tackle said beast head-on while avoiding a full-body fire-coral loofa session.