The latest public advisory for Hurricane Dora (#14A) from the National Hurricane Center shows Dora about 235 miles South of Cabo San Lucas, with maximum sustained winds of 85 mph. The storm is currently moving Northwest at 8 mph, and is expected to continue in that direction during the next couple of days.
Dora is a category one hurricane at the moment, and is expected to weaken over then next few days, possibly becoming a tropical storm by tonight, and a tropical depression by early Sunday.
The image above shows the best track data for both Dora and Hurricane Adrian, as well as the Eastern limit of the Southern California swell window. Dora actually had a better Northwest track than Adrian, but never got West enough to sneak into the swell window. With the weakening forecast and a position East of the swell window, don’t expect too much oomph from Dora (unless you’re in Cabo).
The Point Loma Wavewatch forecast is currently calling for swell conditions of 2 feet at 12 seconds (183°) on Saturday, which isn’t really exciting, but should provide something ridable at the exposed spots over the weekend. The long-term surf forecast is a bit brighter though, with a fresh pulse of Southern Hemi swell arriving next Thursday.
P.S. If you’re a Google Earth user, we recommend checking out the GIS track forecast file archive for Hurricane Dora on the National Hurricane Center. Pretty cool stuff.