As of 8:00 a.m. PDT on Friday, August 19, 2011 (NHC Advisory #12): Hurricane Greg has been downgraded to a tropical storm, with maximum sustained winds of 65 mph. Greg is currently moving West (275°) at 9 mph and is forecast to rapidly weaken over cooler waters in the next few days.
Nothing substantial is expected over the next 7-days, but the latest Point Loma forecast is showing a pulse of moderate-period South energy from Greg beginning Sunday. The swell wave height is expected to peak Sunday evening (2.8 feet at 10.1 seconds 174°), with similar conditions lingering through Monday.
A long-period SSW (206°) component is forecast to fill-in on Monday as well, with energy topping out around 2 feet at 15 seconds. A similar, slightly-smaller Southwest pulse is forecast for Thursday, with swell heights of 1.5-2 feet at 15 seconds expected.
Down in the South Pacific, the long-range forecast is showing some promise, with favorable conditions expected next Friday (August 26, 2011). If the models hold up, this would produce some ground swell around the end of the month into early September. Keep your fingers crossed.