Two Down, Two to Go – Updated Outlook for the 2011 IBA Pipeline Pro

The second day of the 2011 IBA Pipeline Pro was completed on Friday, with a new Northwest swell providing enough juice for contestable early conditions at Pipe and Backdoor. As the day progressed, side-shore winds created challenging afternoon conditions for the riders.

The women’s event was decided, with Neymara Carvalho taking home first place, Eunate Aguirre in second, Stephanie Pettersen third, and Minami Hatekayama fourth. Two additional days of competition remain, including one to crown the men’s champion, and a second for the drop-knee and bodysurfing specialty events.

Looking at the Waimea Bay buoy forecast model, the current swell will continue to decline through the weekend. Surf will be biggest early Saturday morning (3.3 feet at 12.5 seconds 309°). The swell direction is favorable, but swell size will be smaller than Friday. Light winds may give way to sea breezes in the afternoon.

Surf continues to decline in both height and swell period on Sunday (2.3 feet at 11.2 seconds 311°). Enjoy your Saturday night, because it’s not going to happen.

A new North-Northwest swell builds on Monday, however it is a holiday here in Hawaii, and the contest is unable to run due to permit restrictions. That swell peaks overnight into Tuesday (5.9 feet at 11.9 seconds 337°), then declines through Wednesday.

Now that the current Northwest swell has cleaned things up a bit, the 337° angle has much more Pipe and Backdoor potential. Tuesday’s winds are also looking favorable at the moment, with light East winds forecast. Beyond Tuesday, things just get smaller through the end of the week, and Friday is the last day of the holding period.

Our bet is that the specialty events run tomorrow, and the final day of the men’s event goes Tuesday. Check out the IBA World Tour website for contest results and updates.